What will happen tomorrow? A roundup of election forecasts

There have been a slew of polls released in recent days. Most show Hillary Clinton up a few points nationally, but many of the battleground states still look close. So what does it all mean?

All three of the biggest election-modeling sites have Clinton's chances of winning much higher than Trumps,’ but the confidence in her win varies widely. Here's what they say:

• The New York Times Upshot: The Upshot gives the Democratic nominee an 84% chance of victory tomorrow. The forecasting site puts Trump’s chances at 16%:

"A victory by Mr. Trump remains possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an N.F.L. kicker misses a 38-yard field goal."

• FiveThirtyEightNate Silver’s election forecasting site gives Clinton a 2-to-1 advantage over Trump. The site has her chances of winning the presidency at 68% while his are at 32%:

"(T)he public polls — specifically including the highest-quality public polls — show a tight race in which turnout and late-deciding voters will determine the difference between a clear Clinton win, a narrow Clinton win and Trump finding his way to 270 electoral votes."

• The Huffington Post: This website — which is anti-Trump — is very confident Clinton will be president. The site gives Clinton a 98% chance of winning and Trump just 2%.

"We simulated a Nov. 8 election 10 million times using our state-by-state averages. In 9.8 million simulations, Hillary Clinton ended up with at least 270 electoral votes."

Ok, then.

Copyright 2016 KING


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