NEW ORLEANS — A disturbance (Invest 96L) over the eastern Caribbean has become better organized with more showers and thunderstorms. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this disturbance and it will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm (Eta) this weekend.
Forecast models are showing development of this system and it is forecast to move to the west. It will stay in the SW Caribbean and head toward Central America. That's when the forecast starts to get tricky. Some models take it into Central America where it dissipates. However, others slow the system down before it gets there and then eventually pull it north. This is about six days out, so it's too soon so say which scenario will happen, but it's just something we'll keep an eye on.
Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics will stay quiet for the next 5 days.
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